In a recent article Seth Godin speaks about the difficulties of breaking free and changing your direction.
The guy [Bill James] who revolutionized baseball stats had a simple insight: past performance is a good indicator of future performance.
Although we claim to enjoy our freedom and really struggle against anything that restricts our choice, are we really free? Theologians would indicate that although we have a will that can choose, we have a bent that restricts true freedom. Although all things can become new, until that pattern is set, past performance is often a better indicator of future performance.
Godin points out this trait plays out in the hiring process. When you put a team together for a project, getting the right people selected is going to be critical. It is not just a good interview that determines the outcome, but whether the team can count on each other. Especially in a non-profit environment, where it is volunteer service, without the enticement of the carrot or the motivation of the stick.